Cagliari vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
VER
3 - 1
CAG
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAD
0 - 0
VIC
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
PAD
0 - 0
ACM
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
0 - 2
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
PAD
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |