Cagliari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
14%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
CAG
4 - 1
FCC
61%
26%
13%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAG
44%
30%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
CAG
3 - 0
LIC
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
COS
0 - 2
CAG
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
REG
1 - 0
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 0
PES
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
LIC
0 - 0
BRE
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
TOR
2 - 1
BRE
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
53%
30%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |