Cagliari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
+2
11.9%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.2%
33.9%
Draw
0-0
19.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.1%
0
33.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAG
48%
30%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
BOL
46%
33%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
FCC
4 - 0
CAG
48%
29%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAL
46%
31%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRI
51%
29%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
CES
2 - 2
BRE
56%
28%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAL
56%
26%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
43%
34%
24%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
3 - 1
ARZ
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |