Cagliari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 2
CAG
36%
33%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 0
AVE
66%
23%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
CAG
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAL
64%
24%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
48%
30%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASC
51%
27%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRE
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
BRE
3 - 0
RIM
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |