Cagliari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 0
USA
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
CAG
4 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAZ
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 1
BRE
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
USA
0 - 0
BRE
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |