Cagliari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
VNZ
5 - 1
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
VER
1 - 2
CAG
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
CAG
3 - 2
VIG
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 4
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |