Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
FIO
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 3
CAG
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
GEN
4 - 2
CAG
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
EMP
2 - 0
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 1
SIE
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
INT
4 - 2
BOL
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |