Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
13%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
27%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
18.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
FCC
4 - 0
CAG
48%
29%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAL
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAG
41%
32%
27%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CAG
3 - 0
CAM
46%
33%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
SSS
55%
29%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BOL
47%
32%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 1
BOL
46%
33%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
BOL
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |