Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
19.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
PAD
2 - 2
CAG
51%
28%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAM
51%
30%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ARZ
0 - 2
CAG
42%
33%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAR
53%
28%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAG
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 0
BOL
39%
34%
27%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASS
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAT
54%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |