Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
NAP
3 - 1
CAG
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
CAG
0 - 1
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
INT
1 - 0
CAG
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
CAG
0 - 0
ASC
58%
26%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
VER
1 - 0
BOL
42%
29%
29%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |