Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAG
42%
30%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
CAG
2 - 0
TER
59%
26%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
CAG
0 - 1
INT
28%
28%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
VIC
0 - 0
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAG
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
46%
28%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
FIO
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
CES
2 - 2
BOL
35%
30%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |