Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 0
BRE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
INT
0 - 2
CAG
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAG
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAG
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
CAG
1 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
4 - 0
REG
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 0
BOL
20%
28%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
5 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ACM
4 - 2
BOL
51%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |