Cagliari vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 2
CAG
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
REG
0 - 2
CAG
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
CAG
0 - 0
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
AVE
1 - 4
CAG
53%
27%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
CAG
1 - 1
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
BEN
0 - 0
PAL
51%
21%
28%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 1
BEN
46%
23%
32%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |