Cagliari vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAG
0 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAG
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAG
59%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAG
0 - 2
JUV
23%
27%
51%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAG
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SPE
4 - 1
SOR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
KAY
5 - 1
SPE
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
TER
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
SPE
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
LAT
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |