Cagliari vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAG
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
CES
0 - 0
CAG
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
CAG
1 - 0
NAP
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
VER
2 - 2
CAG
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
ASC
1 - 1
CES
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
TOR
2 - 0
ASC
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ASC
1 - 0
FIO
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ASC
2 - 0
JUV
26%
28%
47%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
NAP
0 - 0
ASC
54%
27%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |