Cagliari vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
INT
4 - 1
CAG
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CAG
1 - 1
JUV
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 2
CAG
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
USF
2 - 2
CAG
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
CAG
2 - 1
COM
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
ASC
3 - 2
NAP
51%
29%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
ASC
1 - 2
PES
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
VER
0 - 2
ASC
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |