Cagliari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAG
59%
25%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAG
36%
34%
30%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
EMP
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
PES
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
VAR
44%
32%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
4 - 1
CAT
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 0
VAR
50%
30%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |