Cagliari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1970 |
TOR
4 - 3
CAG
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAG
34%
30%
36%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1970 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
CAG
1 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
55%
27%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 3
TOR
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAR
27%
36%
38%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1970 |
BOL
4 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
USF
2 - 0
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |