Cagliari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAG
30%
30%
41%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
CAG
1 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAG
34%
29%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 0
NAP
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
VER
0 - 0
CAG
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOL
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
FIO
25%
28%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
TOR
2 - 1
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACM
23%
30%
47%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 1
ROM
39%
28%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |