Cagliari vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAG
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CAG
1 - 1
TER
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CTT
0 - 2
CAG
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
CAG
0 - 0
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
CAG
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ANC
2 - 3
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2001 |
VIC
2 - 1
ANC
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SAL
2 - 0
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ANC
0 - 1
CTT
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
TER
0 - 1
ANC
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |