Cagliari vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAG
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAG
26%
23%
51%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAG
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 2
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAG
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAT
1 - 1
REG
63%
23%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
ARZ
2 - 2
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
REG
4 - 3
CAV
48%
28%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
BOL
2 - 1
REG
60%
25%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |