Cagliari vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
0 - 0
FAN
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAG
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
CAG
49%
24%
28%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
ACM
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
PRO
3 - 0
CAG
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
PAV
5 - 1
TRE
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 0
PAV
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAT
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
3 - 2
MES
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
PAD
5 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |