Cagliari vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAG
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
CAG
2 - 2
SSS
60%
27%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CAG
2 - 0
PES
62%
25%
13%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
USC
2 - 1
CAG
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CAG
0 - 0
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
PIS
57%
26%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
PES
0 - 0
ASS
50%
29%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASS
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 1
ATL
58%
27%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
45%
33%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |