Cagliari vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
11%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAG
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAG
27%
31%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 0
TER
71%
20%
9%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
PES
3 - 0
CAG
33%
30%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
77%
18%
6%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASS
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
TAR
0 - 0
ASS
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |