Cagliari vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
CAG
4 - 3
USA
62%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
MOD
4 - 1
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
MES
7 - 4
CAG
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |