Cagliari vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
74%
15%
10%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 3
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 1
ATP
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 2
UNI
68%
18%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
ASS
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SAL
3 - 0
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 0
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ATP
0 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |