Cagliari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
21%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAG
57%
26%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAM
50%
30%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
46%
31%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
USC
40%
33%
26%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
43%
32%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
LAZ
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
43%
31%
27%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MES
3 - 1
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |