Cagliari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 0
TOR
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
COM
2 - 1
CAG
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
CAG
2 - 1
FCC
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
UDI
1 - 0
CAG
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 0
ASC
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
AVE
2 - 0
CES
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
CES
0 - 0
TOR
32%
32%
37%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
FIO
33%
31%
36%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
BOL
0 - 0
CES
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CES
1 - 3
NAP
36%
34%
30%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |