Cagliari vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1971 |
CAG
4 - 1
VER
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
CAG
1 - 1
NAP
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAG
46%
27%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
CAG
1 - 1
CAT
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
PIS
3 - 1
ARZ
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ATL
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
ARZ
48%
30%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
COM
2 - 2
ARZ
48%
29%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |