Cagliari U19 vs Virtus Lanciano U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 0
CHI
25%
25%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 3
CAG
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ATA
5 - 1
CAG
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
INT
12%
19%
70%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SAS
0 - 0
CAG
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
5 - 0
ASC
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FRO
4 - 0
VIR
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 1
CES
9%
16%
74%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | +4 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 0
VIR
90%
7%
2%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 4
VER
11%
18%
71%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |