Cafetaleros vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 1
CAF
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAF
3 - 0
AUR
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JUA
2 - 0
CAF
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CAF
2 - 1
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAF
1 - 0
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 5
TEP
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UAT
2 - 1
CAÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
ALE
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 1
CAÑ
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |