Liga Premier - Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Cafetaleros vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
REB
0 - 1
CAF
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
CAF
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAF
3 - 0
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RAF
0 - 1
CAF
11%
18%
72%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CAF
5 - 1
ESC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
REB
0 - 1
CAF
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
REB
5 - 0
INT
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 1
REB
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
LUL
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 1
REB
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |