Cafetaleros vs Real de Arteaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
10º
1º
0
9º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 0 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 0
CAF
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAF
3 - 2
YFC
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAF
1 - 0
IPC
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAF
3 - 2
CAN
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DON
1 - 2
CAF
15%
19%
67%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Real de Arteaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 9
CAN
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DON
13 - 0
RAF
71%
16%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 2
LEV
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
8 - 0
RAF
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 7
MON
20%
23%
58%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |