Cafetaleros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAF
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAF
0 - 0
JUA
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
CAF
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
TEP
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UAT
0 - 1
ALE
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
3 - 3
CAÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALE
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 0
LOB
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |