Cafetaleros vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CAF
0 - 1
NEC
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 2
CAF
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAF
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 3
AME
16%
21%
64%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOR
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 3
NEC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 1
UAT
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 3
NEC
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |