Copa MX Last 16
Global 4-4
Cafetaleros vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAF
2 - 1
CAÑ
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
MON
6 - 0
CAF
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAF
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAF
4 - 1
MER
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UAP
2 - 3
CAF
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 5
UAT
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
AME
36%
25%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |