Liga Premier - Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Cafetaleros vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAF
2 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MER
2 - 0
CAF
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAF
6 - 0
RAF
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 0
CAF
15%
20%
66%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAF
3 - 2
YFC
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
NAY
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 1
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
MFC
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 2
EST
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |