Cafetaleros vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 2
CAF
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAF
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 3
NEC
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CAF
0 - 1
NEC
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 2
CAF
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
ALE
63%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ATS
1 - 1
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
EST
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |