Cafetaleros vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 0
CAF
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAF
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 2
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
1 - 0
TOR
38%
24%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
DOR
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 3
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 0
EST
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |