Cafetaleros vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAF
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 1
CAF
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CAF
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAF
1 - 0
ALE
26%
23%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAF
0 - 3
LOB
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
TEP
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 2
ATL
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 0
TEP
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
TEP
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TEP
1 - 0
ZAC
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |