Cafetaleros vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 1
CAF
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAF
3 - 2
MER
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 2
CAF
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
PAC
3 - 0
CAF
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAF
0 - 1
ZAC
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 3
CIM
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UAP
1 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 2
JUA
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |