Cafetaleros vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MER
3 - 1
CAF
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CAF
2 - 0
PUE
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAF
3 - 2
EST
26%
29%
45%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 2
CAF
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAF
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 3
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOR
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
UDG
2 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |