Cafetaleros vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
UAT
3 - 1
CAF
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 1
CAF
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
2 - 0
NEC
37%
30%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
3 - 2
ATS
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAF
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAZ
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 2
CAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |