Caersws vs Prestatyn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RTW
1 - 2
CAE
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
FLI
12%
20%
68%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
GRE
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
POR
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CPD
2 - 0
CAE
45%
21%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PRE
3 - 4
CPD
47%
21%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
MOL
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 3
PRE
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 1
AAA
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AAA
0 - 3
PRE
20%
18%
62%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |