UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Caersws vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CON
1 - 2
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 0
RHA
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 1
POR
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LID
2 - 1
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
LPL
2 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOV
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CVA
3 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 1
LSO
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |