Caersws vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RTW
1 - 1
CAE
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 0
CEF
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LLW
1 - 0
CAE
12%
15%
73%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
MOL
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
MOL
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUI
18%
22%
61%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
LLA
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 1
RTW
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 3
GUI
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |