Caersws vs Flint Mountain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
8 - 0
PRE
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 0
CPD
53%
21%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
7 - 4
RHY
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 0
BUC
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 3
GUI
28%
24%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
FMC
72%
16%
11%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FMC
3 - 4
BUC
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 2
FMC
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FMC
4 - 2
LLW
69%
16%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 5
FMC
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |