Caersws vs Chirk AAA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 3
CPD
85%
10%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
3 - 1
CAE
8%
11%
81%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLI
3 - 2
CAE
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAE
5 - 1
RTW
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +5 |
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 4
FLI
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
AAA
31%
22%
48%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
5 - 2
AAA
58%
19%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 1
DEN
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |