Caersws vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FLI
4 - 0
CAE
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 2
GUI
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 0
BUC
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 4
CAE
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 5
CAE
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
LID
2 - 2
CAR
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 4
CAR
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 4
BAN
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TNS
6 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |