Caernarfon Town FC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
9º
4º
51
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAE
20%
23%
58%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
CAE
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
CAE
24%
23%
54%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 5
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 2
BRI
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 2
TNS
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TNS
4 - 1
COL
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 2
PAN
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
TNS
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |